Every player line from FanDuel and DraftKings next to the Reko projection, with recent hit rates and the matchup. Thursday 12 November, 14 games.
Props tracked
530
2 books, 14 games
Rated 4 or 5
2
Positive expected value
Top edge
+8.4%
Melton assists
PropBest priceHit rate
Aaron NesmithIND G, vs WAS 00:00OVER1.5Assists71/100DraftKings2.0+0.5 vs line4+4.8%6/10L5 4/5L20 10/2028thWAS vs G
Tre JohnsonWAS G, @ IND 00:00OVER7.5Points24/25FanDuel11.7+4.2 vs line3+4.0%4/10L5 1/5L20 12/205thIND vs G
Ivica ZubacIND C, vs WAS 00:00UNDER12.5PointsEVSFanDuel11.8−0.7 vs line3+1.1%7/10L5 4/5L20 12/205thWAS vs C
Trae YoungWAS PG, @ IND 00:00OVER18.5PointsEVSFanDuel21.3+2.8 vs line2+0.9%6/10L5 2/5L20 11/205thIND vs G
Anthony DavisWAS PF, @ IND 00:00OVER2.5Assists5/4FanDuel2.6+0.1 vs line2−0.6%5/10L5 2/5L20 8/2025thIND vs F
Alex SarrWAS C, @ IND 00:00OVER10.5Points89/100FanDuel14.0+3.5 vs line2−0.6%5/10L5 3/5L20 11/2016thIND vs C
Kelly Oubre Jr.IND SG, vs WAS 00:00OVER8.5Points22/25FanDuel12.1+3.6 vs line2−1.0%7/10L5 4/5L20 14/2017thWAS vs G
Trae YoungWAS PG, @ IND 00:00OVER30.5PRA47/50FanDuel34.6+4.1 vs line2−1.1%5/10L5 1/5L20 9/205thIND vs G
Alex SarrWAS C, @ IND 00:00OVER19.5PRA10/11FanDuel24.5+5.0 vs line2−1.1%4/10L5 3/5L20 10/2017thIND vs C
Kelly Oubre Jr.IND SG, vs WAS 00:00OVER2.5Rebounds37/50DraftKings4.5+2.0 vs line2−1.3%4/10L5 2/5L20 14/2023rdWAS vs G
Obi ToppinIND PF, vs WAS 00:00OVER18.5PRA47/50FanDuel22.0+3.5 vs line2−1.5%7/10L5 3/5L20 13/2026thWAS vs F
Pascal SiakamIND PF, vs WAS 00:00OVER3.5Assists5/6FanDuel4.1+0.6 vs line1−1.5%6/10L5 4/5L20 10/2021stWAS vs F
Ivica ZubacIND C, vs WAS 00:00UNDER25.5PRA89/100FanDuel23.5−2.0 vs line1−1.5%7/10L5 4/5L20 13/207thWAS vs C
T.J. McConnellIND PG, vs WAS 00:00OVER3.5Assists69/100DraftKings6.0+2.5 vs line1−1.7%6/10L5 1/5L20 12/2028thWAS vs G
Tre JohnsonWAS G, @ IND 00:00OVER1.5Threes6/5FanDuel1.8+0.3 vs line1−2.1%3/10L5 1/5L20 7/208thIND vs G
Obi ToppinIND PF, vs WAS 00:00OVER11.5Points22/25FanDuel14.0+2.5 vs line1−2.2%6/10L5 2/5L20 12/2027thWAS vs F
Deandre AytonWAS C, @ IND 00:00OVER4.5Rebounds89/100FanDuel5.9+1.4 vs line1−2.2%5/10L5 3/5L20 13/2021stIND vs C
Deandre AytonWAS C, @ IND 00:00OVER4.5PointsEVSFanDuel7.5+3.0 vs line1−2.3%4/10L5 2/5L20 12/2016thIND vs C
Kyshawn GeorgeWAS F, @ IND 00:00OVER24.5PRA10/11FanDuel26.9+2.4 vs line1−2.5%6/10L5 4/5L20 8/2030thIND vs F
Alex SarrWAS C, @ IND 00:00OVER1.5Assists22/25FanDuel2.4+0.9 vs line1−2.7%5/10L5 1/5L20 10/2010thIND vs C
T.J. McConnellIND PG, vs WAS 00:00OVER6.5Points87/100DraftKings9.6+3.1 vs line1−2.7%6/10L5 2/5L20 14/2017thWAS vs G
Anthony DavisWAS PF, @ IND 00:00OVER35.5PRA89/100FanDuel37.2+1.7 vs line1−2.8%7/10L5 4/5L20 14/2030thIND vs F
Bilal CoulibalyWAS SG, @ IND 00:00OVER8.5PointsEVSFanDuel9.1+0.6 vs line1−2.9%4/10L5 1/5L20 13/205thIND vs G
Obi ToppinIND PF, vs WAS 00:00OVER4.5Rebounds21/20DraftKings5.4+0.9 vs line1−3.2%7/10L5 4/5L20 10/2029thWAS vs F
Bilal CoulibalyWAS SG, @ IND 00:00OVER3.5ReboundsEVSFanDuel3.8+0.3 vs line1−3.4%6/10L5 3/5L20 12/2012thIND vs G
Pascal SiakamIND PF, vs WAS 00:00OVER32.5PRA93/100FanDuel33.9+1.4 vs line1−3.7%5/10L5 1/5L20 12/2026thWAS vs F
AJ DybantsaWAS F, @ IND 00:00OVER5.5Rebounds71/100FanDuel6.3+0.8 vs line1−4.0%5/7L5 4/5L20 5/727thIND vs F
Anthony DavisWAS PF, @ IND 00:00OVER22.5Points17/20FanDuel23.3+0.8 vs line1−4.1%6/10L5 4/5L20 12/2028thIND vs F
Ivica ZubacIND C, vs WAS 00:00UNDER2.5Assists27/50DraftKings1.9−0.6 vs line1−4.1%8/10L5 4/5L20 17/2012thWAS vs C
Kyshawn GeorgeWAS F, @ IND 00:00OVER4.5Rebounds22/25FanDuel5.1+0.6 vs line1−4.2%2/10L5 1/5L20 4/2027thIND vs F
Kyshawn GeorgeWAS F, @ IND 00:00OVER14.5Points41/50DraftKings16.7+2.2 vs line1−4.2%5/10L5 3/5L20 8/2028thIND vs F
Obi ToppinIND PF, vs WAS 00:00OVER1.5Threes24/25FanDuel1.9+0.4 vs line1−4.3%5/10L5 2/5L20 9/2023rdWAS vs F
Andrew NembhardIND PG, vs WAS 00:00OVER6.5Assists33/50DraftKings8.5+2.0 vs line1−4.3%6/10L5 3/5L20 14/2028thWAS vs G
AJ DybantsaWAS F, @ IND 00:00UNDER17.5Points43/50DraftKings16.2−1.3 vs line1−4.3%3/7L5 2/5L20 3/728thIND vs F
Alex SarrWAS C, @ IND 00:00OVER6.5Rebounds4/5DraftKings7.7+1.2 vs line1−4.6%6/10L5 5/5L20 9/2021stIND vs C
Andrew NembhardIND PG, vs WAS 00:00OVER25.5PRA87/100DraftKings27.9+2.4 vs line1−4.6%7/10L5 4/5L20 12/2022ndWAS vs G
Andrew NembhardIND PG, vs WAS 00:00OVER2.5Rebounds24/25FanDuel3.0+0.5 vs line1−4.7%4/10L5 2/5L20 8/2023rdWAS vs G
Ivica ZubacIND C, vs WAS 00:00UNDER9.5Rebounds21/20FanDuel9.3−0.2 vs line1−4.7%7/10L5 3/5L20 11/2012thWAS vs C
Obi ToppinIND PF, vs WAS 00:00OVER1.5Assists8/13FanDuel2.2+0.7 vs line1−4.8%6/10L5 3/5L20 15/2021stWAS vs F
Aaron NesmithIND G, vs WAS 00:00OVER3.5Rebounds21/20DraftKings3.9+0.4 vs line1−4.8%3/10L5 1/5L20 4/2023rdWAS vs G
AJ DybantsaWAS F, @ IND 00:00UNDER1.5Threes12/25DraftKings1.1−0.4 vs line1−4.9%7/7L5 5/5L20 7/726thIND vs F
Pascal SiakamIND PF, vs WAS 00:00OVER1.5ThreesEVSFanDuel1.6+0.1 vs line1−4.9%5/10L5 3/5L20 8/2023rdWAS vs F
Pascal SiakamIND PF, vs WAS 00:00OVER22.5Points47/50DraftKings22.7+0.2 vs line1−5.4%5/10L5 2/5L20 11/2027thWAS vs F
AJ DybantsaWAS F, @ IND 00:00UNDER2.5Assists33/50DraftKings2.3−0.2 vs line1−5.4%4/7L5 2/5L20 4/725thIND vs F
Aaron NesmithIND G, vs WAS 00:00UNDER2.5Threes14/25FanDuel2.2−0.3 vs line1−5.5%6/10L5 4/5L20 13/206thWAS vs G
Kyshawn GeorgeWAS F, @ IND 00:00OVER4.5AssistsEVSDraftKings4.8+0.3 vs line1−5.5%6/10L5 4/5L20 6/2025thIND vs F
Aaron NesmithIND G, vs WAS 00:00OVER13.5Points22/25FanDuel13.8+0.3 vs line1−5.6%4/10L5 2/5L20 10/2017thWAS vs G
Kelly Oubre Jr.IND SG, vs WAS 00:00OVER0.5Threes49/100DraftKings1.3+0.8 vs line1−5.6%7/10L5 4/5L20 13/206thWAS vs G
AJ DybantsaWAS F, @ IND 00:00UNDER25.5PRA47/50DraftKings25.1−0.4 vs line1−5.6%4/7L5 2/5L20 4/730thIND vs F
Trae YoungWAS PG, @ IND 00:00OVER8.5Assists7/10DraftKings10.0+1.5 vs line1−5.6%6/10L5 2/5L20 10/209thIND vs G
Trae YoungWAS PG, @ IND 00:00UNDER2.5Threes4/7DraftKings2.3−0.2 vs line1−6.0%6/10L5 3/5L20 12/208thIND vs G
Pascal SiakamIND PF, vs WAS 00:00OVER6.5ReboundsEVSDraftKings6.6+0.1 vs line1−6.2%5/10L5 1/5L20 8/2029thWAS vs F
Trae YoungWAS PG, @ IND 00:00OVER2.5Rebounds37/50DraftKings3.1+0.6 vs line1−6.3%6/10L5 2/5L20 9/2012thIND vs G
Aaron NesmithIND G, vs WAS 00:00OVER18.5PRA39/50DraftKings19.9+1.4 vs line1−6.4%4/10L5 2/5L20 8/2022ndWAS vs G
Alex SarrWAS C, @ IND 00:00OVER0.5Threes11/20FanDuel1.0+0.5 vs line1−6.5%5/10L5 3/5L20 13/205thIND vs C
Kyshawn GeorgeWAS F, @ IND 00:00OVER1.5Threes13/25DraftKings2.3+0.8 vs line1−6.5%7/10L5 5/5L20 11/2026thIND vs F
Andrew NembhardIND PG, vs WAS 00:00OVER1.5Threes59/100DraftKings1.9+0.4 vs line1−6.8%6/10L5 4/5L20 12/206thWAS vs G
Anthony DavisWAS PF, @ IND 00:00UNDER10.5Rebounds21/25DraftKings10.5+0.0 vs line1−6.9%6/10L5 3/5L20 10/2027thIND vs F
Bilal CoulibalyWAS SG, @ IND 00:00OVER0.5Threes71/100FanDuel0.9+0.4 vs line1−7.0%4/10L5 1/5L20 10/208thIND vs G
Anthony DavisWAS PF, @ IND 00:00OVER0.5Threes63/100DraftKings0.7+0.2 vs line1−8.2%5/10L5 3/5L20 8/2026thIND vs F
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0more rated 4 or 540hit 8+ of their last 1014games, every player
Free, no card.
Rating 1–5 compares the best price with Reko's chance. Matchup is the opponent's rank for allowing this stat to the player's position, from 1st (allows the least) to 30th (allows the most). A high rank suits overs, a low one unders.
Questions
How these numbers are made, and how to read them.
How are the prop ratings worked out?+
Each prop is rated 1 to 5 by its expected value: Reko’s chance of the line landing, times the best price at FanDuel or DraftKings, minus one. Reko’s chance combines the model’s projection with the books’ own price (with the margin taken out), weighted by how well each has predicted past props. A 5 means an expected value of 7.5% or more; a 1 means the price is worse than fair.
What is a hit rate?+
How often the line would have landed in the player’s recent games: his last 5, 10 and 20 games. Open a prop to see the games behind it, or go to the player’s page to move the line and see the hit rate at any number.
Which line is shown for each player?+
The main line: the one the books price closest to even money. The other lines on offer are on the player’s page.
What does the matchup rank mean?+
Where the opponent ranks this season for allowing that stat to the player’s position, from 1st (allows the least) to 30th (allows the most). The same defense shows the same rank on every prop. A high rank (a soft defense) suits overs, a low one (a tough defense) suits unders.
When do props appear?+
Books post player props in the day or two before each game. They appear here as soon as they are priced and update through the day.
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