Every player line from FanDuel and DraftKings next to the Reko projection, with recent hit rates and the matchup. Thursday 12 November, 14 games.
Props tracked
530
2 books, 14 games
Rated 4 or 5
2
Positive expected value
Top edge
+8.4%
Melton assists
PropBest priceHit rate
Evan MobleyCLE PF, @ NYK 00:00UNDER15.5PointsEVSFanDuel14.1−1.4 vs line3+2.4%3/10L5 2/5L20 7/2012thNYK vs F
Mikal BridgesNYK SF, vs CLE 00:00UNDER2.5Assists93/100FanDuel2.5+0.0 vs line2+0.1%6/10L5 3/5L20 10/204thCLE vs F
Andre DrummondNYK C, vs CLE 00:00OVER6.5ReboundsEVSDraftKings8.5+2.0 vs line2−0.5%7/10L5 4/5L20 10/2030thCLE vs C
Donovan MitchellCLE SG, @ NYK 00:00UNDER4.5AssistsEVSFanDuel4.0−0.5 vs line2−0.7%5/10L5 2/5L20 14/202ndNYK vs G
Jalen BrunsonNYK PG, vs CLE 00:00UNDER35.5PRA47/50FanDuel30.9−4.6 vs line2−0.9%7/10L5 3/5L20 11/2030thCLE vs G
O.G. AnunobyNYK SF, vs CLE 00:00UNDER2.5Assists4/7FanDuel1.9−0.6 vs line2−0.9%8/10L5 4/5L20 14/204thCLE vs F
Evan MobleyCLE PF, @ NYK 00:00UNDER8.5Rebounds71/100FanDuel6.7−1.8 vs line2−1.1%5/10L5 3/5L20 13/2018thNYK vs F
Karl-Anthony TownsNYK C, vs CLE 00:00UNDER36.5PRA47/50FanDuel33.2−3.3 vs line2−1.2%4/10L5 2/5L20 13/2028thCLE vs C
Karl-Anthony TownsNYK C, vs CLE 00:00UNDER20.5Points89/100FanDuel17.5−3.0 vs line2−1.3%4/10L5 2/5L20 13/2027thCLE vs C
Evan MobleyCLE PF, @ NYK 00:00UNDER27.5PRA93/100FanDuel24.1−3.4 vs line1−1.5%4/10L5 3/5L20 8/2013thNYK vs F
O.G. AnunobyNYK SF, vs CLE 00:00UNDER24.5PRA89/100FanDuel22.2−2.3 vs line1−1.9%6/10L5 4/5L20 11/201stCLE vs F
Miles McBrideNYK PG, vs CLE 00:00OVER6.5PointsEVSFanDuel7.5+1.0 vs line1−2.1%4/10L5 3/5L20 6/2030thCLE vs G
Jalen BrunsonNYK PG, vs CLE 00:00UNDER6.5Assists93/100DraftKings5.4−1.1 vs line1−2.5%7/10L5 4/5L20 15/2026thCLE vs G
Donovan MitchellCLE SG, @ NYK 00:00UNDER24.5Points41/50DraftKings21.0−3.5 vs line1−2.5%7/10L5 3/5L20 10/209thNYK vs G
O.G. AnunobyNYK SF, vs CLE 00:00UNDER16.5Points49/50FanDuel15.4−1.1 vs line1−2.5%4/10L5 2/5L20 7/201stCLE vs F
Jalen BrunsonNYK PG, vs CLE 00:00UNDER25.5Points93/100DraftKings22.4−3.1 vs line1−2.6%6/10L5 3/5L20 10/2030thCLE vs G
Meleek ThomasCLE G, @ NYK 00:00OVER1.5Threes9/10DraftKings2.4+0.9 vs line1−2.6%7/8L5 5/5L20 7/813thNYK vs G
Donovan MitchellCLE SG, @ NYK 00:00UNDER33.5PRA9/10DraftKings29.1−4.4 vs line1−2.6%6/10L5 2/5L20 10/209thNYK vs G
Meleek ThomasCLE G, @ NYK 00:00OVER8.5Points89/100FanDuel11.4+2.9 vs line1−2.7%8/8L5 5/5L20 8/89thNYK vs G
Evan MobleyCLE PF, @ NYK 00:00UNDER3.5Assists22/25FanDuel3.2−0.3 vs line1−3.1%5/10L5 2/5L20 10/2015thNYK vs F
Peyton WatsonCLE F, @ NYK 00:00UNDER18.5PRA47/50FanDuel17.9−0.6 vs line1−3.1%6/10L5 3/5L20 8/2013thNYK vs F
Miles McBrideNYK PG, vs CLE 00:00OVER1.5Threes21/20FanDuel1.9+0.4 vs line1−3.1%5/10L5 4/5L20 8/2026thCLE vs G
James HardenCLE SG, @ NYK 00:00UNDER4.5Rebounds69/100FanDuel4.3−0.2 vs line1−3.2%4/10L5 3/5L20 9/2020thNYK vs G
Peyton WatsonCLE F, @ NYK 00:00UNDER1.5Threes69/100FanDuel1.2−0.3 vs line1−3.4%8/10L5 4/5L20 13/2022ndNYK vs F
Karl-Anthony TownsNYK C, vs CLE 00:00UNDER12.5Rebounds49/50FanDuel11.8−0.7 vs line1−3.5%4/10L5 2/5L20 10/2030thCLE vs C
Jarrett AllenCLE C, @ NYK 00:00UNDER7.5Rebounds43/50DraftKings6.6−0.9 vs line1−3.7%5/10L5 3/5L20 12/201stNYK vs C
O.G. AnunobyNYK SF, vs CLE 00:00UNDER5.5Rebounds3/4DraftKings4.8−0.7 vs line1−4.1%6/10L5 4/5L20 13/201stCLE vs F
James HardenCLE SG, @ NYK 00:00UNDER5.5Assists11/10DraftKings5.4−0.1 vs line1−4.1%4/10L5 3/5L20 10/202ndNYK vs G
James HardenCLE SG, @ NYK 00:00UNDER16.5Points21/25DraftKings15.4−1.1 vs line1−4.2%6/10L5 3/5L20 10/209thNYK vs G
Peyton WatsonCLE F, @ NYK 00:00UNDER12.5Points21/25DraftKings11.5−1.0 vs line1−4.2%6/10L5 3/5L20 9/2012thNYK vs F
Jarrett AllenCLE C, @ NYK 00:00UNDER20.5PRA93/100FanDuel19.1−1.4 vs line1−4.2%3/10L5 2/5L20 6/201stNYK vs C
Jarrett AllenCLE C, @ NYK 00:00UNDER11.5Points93/100FanDuel11.2−0.3 vs line1−4.4%4/10L5 1/5L20 7/201stNYK vs C
Jalen BrunsonNYK PG, vs CLE 00:00UNDER3.5Rebounds8/13DraftKings2.9−0.6 vs line1−4.5%6/10L5 2/5L20 11/2025thCLE vs G
James HardenCLE SG, @ NYK 00:00UNDER26.5PRA9/10DraftKings25.1−1.4 vs line1−4.7%6/10L5 4/5L20 11/209thNYK vs G
Donovan MitchellCLE SG, @ NYK 00:00UNDER4.5Rebounds37/50DraftKings4.0−0.5 vs line1−4.8%5/10L5 3/5L20 10/2020thNYK vs G
Andre DrummondNYK C, vs CLE 00:00OVER4.5PointsEVSFanDuel5.7+1.2 vs line1−4.8%3/10L5 1/5L20 7/2027thCLE vs C
Landry ShametNYK SG, vs CLE 00:00UNDER8.5Points9/10DraftKings8.5+0.0 vs line1−5.0%5/10L5 2/5L20 9/2030thCLE vs G
Jalen BrunsonNYK PG, vs CLE 00:00UNDER2.5Threes18/25DraftKings2.3−0.2 vs line1−5.0%5/10L5 1/5L20 11/2026thCLE vs G
Mikal BridgesNYK SF, vs CLE 00:00UNDER1.5Threes11/20DraftKings1.2−0.3 vs line1−5.0%8/10L5 4/5L20 15/202ndCLE vs F
Mikal BridgesNYK SF, vs CLE 00:00UNDER9.5Points22/25DraftKings9.3−0.2 vs line1−5.1%8/10L5 4/5L20 11/201stCLE vs F
O.G. AnunobyNYK SF, vs CLE 00:00UNDER2.5Threes4/6DraftKings2.1−0.4 vs line1−5.2%6/10L5 2/5L20 12/202ndCLE vs F
Donovan MitchellCLE SG, @ NYK 00:00UNDER2.5Threes9/10DraftKings2.5+0.0 vs line1−5.3%6/10L5 2/5L20 12/2013thNYK vs G
Mikal BridgesNYK SF, vs CLE 00:00UNDER15.5PRA79/100DraftKings14.7−0.8 vs line1−5.5%7/10L5 3/5L20 10/201stCLE vs F
James HardenCLE SG, @ NYK 00:00UNDER2.5Threes16/25DraftKings2.2−0.3 vs line1−5.6%4/10L5 2/5L20 8/2013thNYK vs G
Peyton WatsonCLE F, @ NYK 00:00UNDER4.5Rebounds69/100FanDuel4.4−0.1 vs line1−5.8%6/10L5 3/5L20 11/2018thNYK vs F
Evan MobleyCLE PF, @ NYK 00:00UNDER1.5Threes27/50DraftKings1.2−0.3 vs line1−5.9%4/10L5 3/5L20 10/2022ndNYK vs F
Landry ShametNYK SG, vs CLE 00:00OVER1.5Threes14/25DraftKings2.1+0.6 vs line1−6.4%7/10L5 3/5L20 13/2026thCLE vs G
Karl-Anthony TownsNYK C, vs CLE 00:00OVER1.5Threes11/10DraftKings1.6+0.1 vs line1−6.5%7/10L5 4/5L20 11/2030thCLE vs C
Karl-Anthony TownsNYK C, vs CLE 00:00UNDER3.5Assists8/13DraftKings3.3−0.2 vs line1−6.7%7/10L5 4/5L20 12/2024thCLE vs C
Peyton WatsonCLE F, @ NYK 00:00OVER1.5Assists13/20DraftKings2.0+0.5 vs line1−6.8%7/10L5 4/5L20 17/2015thNYK vs F
Mikal BridgesNYK SF, vs CLE 00:00OVER2.5Rebounds17/25DraftKings3.0+0.5 vs line1−7.0%7/10L5 4/5L20 15/201stCLE vs F
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518more props tonight
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0more rated 4 or 540hit 8+ of their last 1014games, every player
Free, no card.
Rating 1–5 compares the best price with Reko's chance. Matchup is the opponent's rank for allowing this stat to the player's position, from 1st (allows the least) to 30th (allows the most). A high rank suits overs, a low one unders.
Questions
How these numbers are made, and how to read them.
How are the prop ratings worked out?+
Each prop is rated 1 to 5 by its expected value: Reko’s chance of the line landing, times the best price at FanDuel or DraftKings, minus one. Reko’s chance combines the model’s projection with the books’ own price (with the margin taken out), weighted by how well each has predicted past props. A 5 means an expected value of 7.5% or more; a 1 means the price is worse than fair.
What is a hit rate?+
How often the line would have landed in the player’s recent games: his last 5, 10 and 20 games. Open a prop to see the games behind it, or go to the player’s page to move the line and see the hit rate at any number.
Which line is shown for each player?+
The main line: the one the books price closest to even money. The other lines on offer are on the player’s page.
What does the matchup rank mean?+
Where the opponent ranks this season for allowing that stat to the player’s position, from 1st (allows the least) to 30th (allows the most). The same defense shows the same rank on every prop. A high rank (a soft defense) suits overs, a low one (a tough defense) suits unders.
When do props appear?+
Books post player props in the day or two before each game. They appear here as soon as they are priced and update through the day.
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