Projections, fair prices and win chances for every NFL game. UK times.
How these numbers are made, and how to read them.
Every NFL game gets a projected score and a win probability from Reko’s own model, built from each team’s performance, injuries and rest. The projected spread is the difference between the two scores and the projected total is their sum. The numbers are set before the start and don’t change once the game begins.
It is the win probability as odds with no bookmaker margin: a 60% chance is a fair price of 1.67 (4/6, or −150). When a bookmaker offers longer odds than the fair price, the bet has positive expected value by Reko’s numbers; when it offers shorter odds, the margin is against you.
FanDuel and DraftKings. Prices update through the day, and each game page shows how the price has moved since it opened.
Yes. Games in play show the live score, refreshed every 15 minutes, and stay on the list until they are final. Box scores and team stats for finished games are on the results page.
No. Reko does not take bets. It publishes research, and you can log the bets you place elsewhere in its free bet tracker.
Scores of games in play refresh every 15 minutes. Reko score, spread, total and win chance are the model's own numbers, set before the start, built from team performance, injuries and rest. Price path: FanDuel's price for the model's favourite since it opened.