Every player line from FanDuel and DraftKings next to the Reko projection, with recent hit rates and the matchup. Friday 13 November, 14 games.
Props tracked
283
2 books, 14 games
Rated 4 or 5
0
Positive expected value
Top edge
+2.5%
Pitts receptions
PropBest priceHit rate
Kyle PittsATL TE, vs KC 18:00UNDER3.5Receptions21/20FanDuel3.5+0.0 vs line3+2.5%6/10L5 2/5L20 10/2026thKC vs TE
Dalton KincaidBUF TE, @ NYJ 18:00OVER3.5ReceptionsEVSFanDuel3.7+0.2 vs line3+2.0%5/10L5 2/5L20 9/2027thNYJ vs TE
Drake MayeNE QB, @ DET 14:30OVER1.5Pass TDs39/50FanDuel1.8+0.3 vs line3+1.5%7/10L5 5/5L20 11/2030thDET vs QB
Tetairoa McMillanCAR WR, @ NO 18:00UNDER5.5Receptions22/25FanDuel5.1−0.4 vs line2+0.5%7/10L5 2/5L20 14/206thNO vs WR
Malachi FieldsNYG WR, vs WAS 01:15OVER2.5Receptions11/8FanDuel2.7+0.2 vs line2−1.0%2/8L5 2/5L20 2/827thWAS vs WR
Devin SingletaryNYG RB, vs WAS 01:15OVER1.5Receptions23/20FanDuel1.8+0.3 vs line2−1.1%5/10L5 3/5L20 7/2019thWAS vs RB
Van JeffersonWAS WR, @ NYG 01:15OVER1.5Receptions29/20FanDuel2.1+0.6 vs line2−1.1%6/10L5 3/5L20 10/209thNYG vs WR
George KittleSF TE, @ DAL 21:25OVER5.5Receptions6/5FanDuel6.1+0.6 vs line2−1.2%2/10L5 1/5L20 7/208thDAL vs TE
Jahmyr GibbsDET RB, vs NE 14:30UNDER4.5Receptions8/11FanDuel3.8−0.7 vs line2−1.2%5/10L5 3/5L20 11/204thNE vs RB
James CookBUF RB, @ NYJ 18:00OVER1.5Receptions23/20FanDuel1.6+0.1 vs line2−1.4%6/10L5 3/5L20 12/209thNYJ vs RB
Amon-Ra St. BrownDET WR, vs NE 14:30UNDER7.5Receptions37/50FanDuel7.4−0.1 vs line1−1.8%3/10L5 2/5L20 9/2024thNE vs WR
Savion WilliamsGB WR, vs MIN 18:00UNDER2.5Receptions3/5FanDuel1.9−0.6 vs line1−2.2%7/10L5 2/5L20 12/162ndMIN vs WR
Aaron RodgersPIT QB, @ CIN 01:20OVER1.5Pass TDs47/50FanDuel1.6+0.1 vs line1−2.3%4/10L5 3/5L20 7/203rdCIN vs QB
Jordan LoveGB QB, vs MIN 18:00OVER1.5Pass TDs4/5FanDuel1.8+0.3 vs line1−2.5%9/10L5 4/5L20 13/201stMIN vs QB
Khalil ShakirBUF WR, @ NYJ 18:00OVER3.5Receptions4/5FanDuel3.8+0.3 vs line1−2.5%7/10L5 4/5L20 14/209thNYJ vs WR
Aaron JonesMIN RB, @ GB 18:00OVER1.5Receptions63/100FanDuel2.1+0.6 vs line1−2.8%6/10L5 3/5L20 14/2019thGB vs RB
Dak PrescottDAL QB, vs SF 21:25OVER1.5Pass TDs14/25FanDuel1.8+0.3 vs line1−2.9%4/10L5 2/5L20 10/208thSF vs QB
Devin SingletaryNYG RB, vs WAS 01:15OVER8.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel13.0+4.5 vs line1−3.2%5/10L5 3/5L20 7/2015thWAS vs RB
Austin EkelerWAS RB, @ NYG 01:15UNDER1.5Receptions89/100FanDuel1.3−0.2 vs line1−3.2%3/10L5 3/5L20 4/207thNYG vs RB
Darnell WashingtonPIT TE, @ CIN 01:20OVER2.5Receptions49/50FanDuel2.8+0.3 vs line1−3.3%5/10L5 3/5L20 10/2031stCIN vs TE
Tre TuckerLV WR, vs SEA 21:05OVER2.5Receptions11/10FanDuel3.3+0.8 vs line1−3.4%7/10L5 4/5L20 14/203rdSEA vs WR
Patrick MahomesKC QB, @ ATL 18:00OVER1.5Pass TDs22/25FanDuel1.6+0.1 vs line1−3.5%6/10L5 3/5L20 11/2021stATL vs QB
Jadarian PriceSEA RB, @ LV 21:05OVER10.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel19.1+8.6 vs line1−3.7%1/5L5 1/5L20 1/59thLV vs RB
Michael Penix Jr.ATL QB, vs KC 18:00OVER6.5Rush yds22/25FanDuel12.2+5.7 vs line1−3.7%5/10L5 3/5L20 7/2010thKC vs QB
Malik NabersNYG WR, vs WAS 01:15OVER5.5Receptions77/100FanDuel6.5+1.0 vs line1−3.7%5/10L5 4/5L20 12/2027thWAS vs WR
Devaughn VeleNO WR, vs CAR 18:00OVER3.5Receptions41/50FanDuel3.7+0.2 vs line1−3.8%6/10L5 3/5L20 7/2024thCAR vs WR
J.J. McCarthyNYG QB, vs WAS 01:15UNDER1.5Pass TDs1/2FanDuel0.9−0.6 vs line1−3.8%8/10L5 5/5L20 10/1426thWAS vs QB
Emmett JohnsonKC RB, @ ATL 18:00OVER9.5Rush yds22/25FanDuel16.5+7.0 vs line1−3.9%5/8L5 2/5L20 5/821stATL vs RB
Javonte WilliamsDAL RB, vs SF 21:25OVER12.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel17.2+4.7 vs line1−3.9%5/10L5 2/5L20 7/2028thSF vs RB
Fernando MendozaLV QB, vs SEA 21:05UNDER12.5Rush yds22/25FanDuel3.4−9.1 vs line1−4.4%1/1L5 1/1L20 1/125thSEA vs QB
Darnell MooneyNYG WR, vs WAS 01:15OVER15.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel25.9+10.4 vs line1−4.6%6/10L5 1/5L20 13/2021stWAS vs WR
Ashton JeantyLV RB, vs SEA 21:05OVER25.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel33.7+8.2 vs line1−4.6%7/10L5 4/5L20 12/2019thSEA vs RB
Rashee RiceKC WR, @ ATL 18:00UNDER5.5Receptions71/100FanDuel4.3−1.2 vs line1−4.6%5/10L5 3/5L20 8/2026thATL vs WR
T.J. HockensonMIN TE, @ GB 18:00UNDER4.5Receptions77/100FanDuel3.9−0.6 vs line1−4.8%9/10L5 4/5L20 16/208thGB vs TE
Jadarian PriceSEA RB, @ LV 21:05UNDER44.5Rush yds22/25FanDuel37.2−7.3 vs line1−4.8%3/5L5 3/5L20 3/532ndLV vs RB
Drake MayeNE QB, @ DET 14:30UNDER26.5Rush yds22/25FanDuel22.0−4.5 vs line1−4.8%7/10L5 5/5L20 13/2012thDET vs QB
Bijan RobinsonATL RB, vs KC 18:00UNDER28.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel27.0−1.5 vs line1−4.9%6/10L5 2/5L20 9/2019thKC vs RB
Jordyn TysonNO WR, vs CAR 18:00UNDER32.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel29.4−3.1 vs line1−4.9%1/1L5 1/1L20 1/117thCAR vs WR
Cam SkatteboNYG RB, vs WAS 01:15OVER50.5Rush yds22/25FanDuel63.9+13.4 vs line1−4.9%7/10L5 4/5L20 10/1519thWAS vs RB
Fernando MendozaLV QB, vs SEA 21:05UNDER0.5Pass TDs15/8DraftKings0.3−0.2 vs line1−4.9%1/1L5 1/1L20 1/13rdSEA vs QB
Devin SingletaryNYG RB, vs WAS 01:15OVER23.5Rush yds22/25FanDuel29.4+5.9 vs line1−4.9%6/10L5 2/5L20 10/2019thWAS vs RB
Jared GoffDET QB, vs NE 14:30OVER0.5Rush yds21/20FanDuel6.7+6.2 vs line1−4.9%6/10L5 2/5L20 9/206thNE vs QB
Fernando MendozaLV QB, vs SEA 21:05UNDER180.5Pass yds9/10DraftKings67.3−113.2 vs line1−5.2%1/1L5 1/1L20 1/13rdSEA vs QB
Corey KinerNE RB, @ DET 14:30UNDER51.5Rush yds22/25DraftKings28.2−23.3 vs line1−5.3%7/10L5 2/5L20 10/1311thDET vs RB
Braelon AllenNYJ RB, vs BUF 18:00OVER35.5Rush yds22/25DraftKings73.3+37.8 vs line1−5.3%6/10L5 4/5L20 7/206thBUF vs RB
Jaylen WarrenPIT RB, @ CIN 01:20OVER61.5Rush yds22/25FanDuel87.7+26.2 vs line1−5.3%6/10L5 4/5L20 12/2015thCIN vs RB
Aaron RodgersPIT QB, @ CIN 01:20OVER0.5Rush yds19/20DraftKings6.7+6.2 vs line1−5.3%5/10L5 2/5L20 9/2031stCIN vs QB
Trevor LawrenceJAX QB, @ TEN 18:00OVER9.5Rush yds24/25DraftKings11.7+2.2 vs line1−5.3%6/10L5 3/5L20 15/2020thTEN vs QB
Christian McCaffreySF RB, @ DAL 21:25OVER31.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel44.8+13.3 vs line1−5.4%6/10L5 2/5L20 13/2017thDAL vs RB
J.J. McCarthyNYG QB, vs WAS 01:15UNDER18.5Rush yds9/10DraftKings11.5−7.0 vs line1−5.4%6/10L5 3/5L20 7/1428thWAS vs QB
Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN WR, vs JAX 18:00OVER33.5Rec yds89/100DraftKings55.6+22.1 vs line1−5.4%5/10L5 2/5L20 14/2025thJAX vs WR
Theo JohnsonNYG TE, vs WAS 01:15OVER4.5Rec yds22/25DraftKings17.9+13.4 vs line1−5.4%6/10L5 2/5L20 16/2028thWAS vs TE
Pierre StrongGB RB, vs MIN 18:00OVER10.5Rush yds93/100DraftKings24.6+14.1 vs line1−5.4%3/10L5 2/5L20 6/2023rdMIN vs RB
Brock BowersLV TE, vs SEA 21:05OVER58.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel72.0+13.5 vs line1−5.4%7/10L5 5/5L20 11/205thSEA vs TE
Jayden DanielsWAS QB, @ NYG 01:15UNDER35.5Rush yds89/100DraftKings28.8−6.7 vs line1−5.4%6/10L5 3/5L20 8/2030thNYG vs QB
Zach CharbonnetSEA RB, @ LV 21:05UNDER60.5Rush yds9/10DraftKings50.4−10.1 vs line1−5.4%7/10L5 2/5L20 16/2032ndLV vs RB
Zach CharbonnetSEA RB, @ LV 21:05OVER9.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel14.8+5.3 vs line1−5.4%4/10L5 2/5L20 9/209thLV vs RB
Breece HallNYJ RB, vs BUF 18:00UNDER54.5Rush yds89/100DraftKings47.0−7.5 vs line1−5.4%6/10L5 2/5L20 9/206thBUF vs RB
Xavier HutchinsonHOU WR, @ CLE 18:00OVER25.5Rec yds89/100DraftKings39.0+13.5 vs line1−5.4%7/10L5 3/5L20 11/205thCLE vs WR
Elic AyomanorTEN WR, vs JAX 18:00OVER21.5Rec yds22/25DraftKings34.3+12.8 vs line1−5.4%6/10L5 3/5L20 11/2025thJAX vs WR
Bhayshul TutenJAX RB, @ TEN 18:00UNDER67.5Rush yds9/10DraftKings63.7−3.8 vs line1−5.4%6/10L5 2/5L20 15/208thTEN vs RB
Trevor LawrenceJAX QB, @ TEN 18:00OVER233.5Pass yds22/25DraftKings252.6+19.1 vs line1−5.4%5/10L5 3/5L20 11/2031stTEN vs QB
Rachaad WhiteWAS RB, @ NYG 01:15OVER37.5Rush yds9/10DraftKings49.7+12.2 vs line1−5.4%3/10L5 1/5L20 10/2020thNYG vs RB
Ja'Marr ChaseCIN WR, vs PIT 01:20UNDER92.5Rec yds89/100DraftKings89.4−3.1 vs line1−5.4%6/10L5 3/5L20 9/2016thPIT vs WR
Jordan LoveGB QB, vs MIN 18:00UNDER259.5Pass yds22/25DraftKings229.1−30.4 vs line1−5.4%2/10L5 0/5L20 9/201stMIN vs QB
Cam WardTEN QB, vs JAX 18:00OVER205.5Pass yds9/10DraftKings217.1+11.6 vs line1−5.4%3/10L5 2/5L20 8/2012thJAX vs QB
Dak PrescottDAL QB, vs SF 21:25UNDER9.5Rush yds93/100DraftKings9.5+0.0 vs line1−5.4%6/10L5 4/5L20 11/201stSF vs QB
Chase BrownCIN RB, vs PIT 01:20OVER43.5Rush yds89/100DraftKings55.9+12.4 vs line1−5.4%7/10L5 2/5L20 14/2015thPIT vs RB
Deshaun WatsonCLE QB, vs HOU 18:00OVER208.5Pass yds89/100DraftKings224.8+16.3 vs line1−5.4%4/10L5 3/5L20 8/2019thHOU vs QB
Antonio WilliamsWAS WR, @ NYG 01:15UNDER39.5Rec yds89/100DraftKings35.6−3.9 vs line1−5.4%5/8L5 3/5L20 5/89thNYG vs WR
J.J. McCarthyNYG QB, vs WAS 01:15UNDER212.5Pass yds89/100DraftKings166.8−45.7 vs line1−5.5%7/10L5 3/5L20 10/1426thWAS vs QB
Jameson WilliamsDET WR, vs NE 14:30UNDER56.5Rec yds89/100DraftKings55.8−0.7 vs line1−5.5%6/10L5 2/5L20 8/2018thNE vs WR
KC ConcepcionCLE WR, vs HOU 18:00UNDER47.5Rec yds89/100DraftKings46.9−0.6 vs line1−5.5%6/9L5 3/5L20 6/926thHOU vs WR
C.J. StroudHOU QB, @ CLE 18:00UNDER240.5Pass yds9/10DraftKings234.5−6.0 vs line1−5.5%3/10L5 1/5L20 8/204thCLE vs QB
Patrick MahomesKC QB, @ ATL 18:00OVER240.5Pass yds89/100DraftKings241.6+1.1 vs line1−5.5%5/10L5 3/5L20 14/2025thATL vs QB
Treylon BurksWAS WR, @ NYG 01:15UNDER32.5Rec yds89/100DraftKings31.4−1.1 vs line1−5.5%7/10L5 2/5L20 16/209thNYG vs WR
Brock PurdySF QB, @ DAL 21:25UNDER253.5Pass yds89/100DraftKings245.5−8.0 vs line1−5.5%5/10L5 3/5L20 9/2027thDAL vs QB
T.J. HockensonMIN TE, @ GB 18:00UNDER38.5Rec yds89/100DraftKings38.0−0.5 vs line1−5.5%7/10L5 3/5L20 13/2014thGB vs TE
Jared GoffDET QB, vs NE 14:30UNDER268.5Pass yds22/25DraftKings259.1−9.4 vs line1−5.5%4/10L5 2/5L20 8/208thNE vs QB
Jayden DanielsWAS QB, @ NYG 01:15UNDER200.5Pass yds89/100DraftKings197.2−3.3 vs line1−5.5%6/10L5 2/5L20 8/202ndNYG vs QB
Aaron RodgersPIT QB, @ CIN 01:20OVER240.5Pass yds89/100DraftKings243.6+3.1 vs line1−5.5%4/10L5 2/5L20 7/2021stCIN vs QB
Geno SmithNYJ QB, vs BUF 18:00OVER220.5Pass yds89/100DraftKings233.1+12.6 vs line1−5.5%5/10L5 3/5L20 9/209thBUF vs QB
Jordyn TysonNO WR, vs CAR 18:00UNDER3.5Receptions22/25DraftKings2.4−1.1 vs line1−5.6%0/1L5 0/1L20 0/124thCAR vs WR
Brock PurdySF QB, @ DAL 21:25OVER1.5Pass TDs23/50DraftKings1.9+0.4 vs line1−5.6%7/10L5 3/5L20 14/2026thDAL vs QB
Deshaun WatsonCLE QB, vs HOU 18:00UNDER28.5Rush yds87/100DraftKings20.5−8.0 vs line1−5.6%6/10L5 3/5L20 13/207thHOU vs QB
Deshaun WatsonCLE QB, vs HOU 18:00OVER0.5Pass TDs23/50DraftKings1.0+0.5 vs line1−5.7%5/10L5 2/5L20 13/2014thHOU vs QB
Jayden DanielsWAS QB, @ NYG 01:15UNDER1.5Pass TDs23/50DraftKings1.2−0.3 vs line1−5.7%7/10L5 4/5L20 11/2014thNYG vs QB
Antonio WilliamsWAS WR, @ NYG 01:15UNDER3.5Receptions21/20DraftKings3.0−0.5 vs line1−5.7%6/8L5 4/5L20 6/89thNYG vs WR
Mike Washington Jr.LV RB, vs SEA 21:05UNDER26.5Rush yds9/10DraftKings26.1−0.4 vs line1−5.7%4/9L5 2/5L20 4/92ndSEA vs RB
Michael Penix Jr.ATL QB, vs KC 18:00UNDER1.5Pass TDs4/7DraftKings1.4−0.1 vs line1−5.7%7/10L5 3/5L20 15/203rdKC vs QB
C.J. StroudHOU QB, @ CLE 18:00OVER1.5Pass TDs11/10DraftKings1.7+0.2 vs line1−5.7%5/10L5 4/5L20 9/208thCLE vs QB
Nico CollinsHOU WR, @ CLE 18:00UNDER54.5Rec yds87/100DraftKings53.4−1.1 vs line1−5.7%2/10L5 1/5L20 4/205thCLE vs WR
Jordan AddisonMIN WR, @ GB 18:00UNDER3.5Receptions11/10DraftKings3.0−0.5 vs line1−5.7%8/10L5 3/5L20 14/2029thGB vs WR
Drake LondonATL WR, vs KC 18:00UNDER5.5Receptions24/25DraftKings4.7−0.8 vs line1−5.7%7/10L5 3/5L20 12/209thKC vs WR
Josh AllenBUF QB, @ NYJ 18:00OVER1.5Pass TDs19/25DraftKings1.7+0.2 vs line1−5.8%5/10L5 2/5L20 9/2031stNYJ vs QB
Drew LockSEA QB, @ LV 21:05UNDER1.5Pass TDs33/50DraftKings1.2−0.3 vs line1−5.8%9/10L5 4/5L20 17/2024thLV vs QB
Cam WardTEN QB, vs JAX 18:00OVER0.5Pass TDs37/100DraftKings1.2+0.7 vs line1−5.9%6/10L5 3/5L20 14/202ndJAX vs QB
Trevor LawrenceJAX QB, @ TEN 18:00OVER1.5Pass TDs8/13DraftKings2.0+0.5 vs line1−5.9%7/10L5 3/5L20 12/2024thTEN vs QB
Geno SmithNYJ QB, vs BUF 18:00UNDER1.5Pass TDs49/100DraftKings1.4−0.1 vs line1−5.9%7/10L5 3/5L20 14/2028thBUF vs QB
Jared GoffDET QB, vs NE 14:30OVER1.5Pass TDs29/50DraftKings1.8+0.3 vs line1−6.0%5/10L5 2/5L20 12/207thNE vs QB
Joe BurrowCIN QB, vs PIT 01:20UNDER2.5Pass TDs1/2DraftKings2.2−0.3 vs line1−6.0%4/10L5 1/5L20 9/208thPIT vs QB
Justin JeffersonMIN WR, @ GB 18:00UNDER77.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel58.8−18.7 vs line1−6.0%6/10L5 4/5L20 14/2023rdGB vs WR
Drake LondonATL WR, vs KC 18:00UNDER72.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel64.6−7.9 vs line1−6.1%6/10L5 4/5L20 11/205thKC vs WR
Rashee RiceKC WR, @ ATL 18:00UNDER56.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel52.2−4.3 vs line1−6.1%6/10L5 3/5L20 11/2024thATL vs WR
Bryce YoungCAR QB, @ NO 18:00OVER244.5Pass yds22/25FanDuel258.5+14.0 vs line1−6.1%8/10L5 3/5L20 9/2011thNO vs QB
Joe BurrowCIN QB, vs PIT 01:20UNDER289.5Pass yds22/25FanDuel275.3−14.2 vs line1−6.1%6/10L5 2/5L20 14/2023rdPIT vs QB
Drake MayeNE QB, @ DET 14:30UNDER262.5Pass yds22/25FanDuel259.6−2.9 vs line1−6.1%5/10L5 2/5L20 10/2032ndDET vs QB
Dak PrescottDAL QB, vs SF 21:25UNDER263.5Pass yds22/25FanDuel260.5−3.0 vs line1−6.1%5/10L5 3/5L20 8/207thSF vs QB
Josh AllenBUF QB, @ NYJ 18:00OVER235.5Pass yds22/25FanDuel236.2+0.7 vs line1−6.2%7/10L5 3/5L20 13/2017thNYJ vs QB
Tyler ShoughNO QB, vs CAR 18:00UNDER246.5Pass yds22/25FanDuel238.6−7.9 vs line1−6.2%2/10L5 2/5L20 8/1910thCAR vs QB
Drew LockSEA QB, @ LV 21:05UNDER207.5Pass yds22/25FanDuel194.6−12.9 vs line1−6.2%9/10L5 4/5L20 14/2013thLV vs QB
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Rating 1–5 compares the best price with Reko's chance. Matchup is the opponent's rank for allowing this stat to the player's position, from 1st (allows the least) to 32nd (allows the most). A high rank suits overs, a low one unders.
Questions
How these numbers are made, and how to read them.
How are the prop ratings worked out?+
Each prop is rated 1 to 5 by its expected value: Reko’s chance of the line landing, times the best price at FanDuel or DraftKings, minus one. Reko’s chance combines the model’s projection with the books’ own price (with the margin taken out), weighted by how well each has predicted past props. A 5 means an expected value of 7.5% or more; a 1 means the price is worse than fair.
What is a hit rate?+
How often the line would have landed in the player’s recent games: his last 5, 10 and 20 games. Open a prop to see the games behind it, or go to the player’s page to move the line and see the hit rate at any number.
Which line is shown for each player?+
The main line: the one the books price closest to even money. The other lines on offer are on the player’s page.
What does the matchup rank mean?+
Where the opponent ranks this season for allowing that stat to the player’s position, from 1st (allows the least) to 32nd (allows the most). The same defense shows the same rank on every prop. A high rank (a soft defense) suits overs, a low one (a tough defense) suits unders.
When do props appear?+
Books post player props in the day or two before each game, and through the week for the NFL. They appear here as soon as they are priced and update through the day.
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