Every player line from FanDuel and DraftKings next to the Reko projection, with recent hit rates and the matchup. Friday 13 November, 14 games.
Props tracked
268
2 books, 14 games
Rated 4 or 5
0
Positive expected value
Top edge
+2.5%
Pitts receptions
PropBest priceHit rate
Malachi FieldsNYG WR, vs WAS 01:15OVER2.5Receptions11/8FanDuel2.7+0.2 vs line2−1.0%2/8L5 2/5L20 2/827thWAS vs WR
Devin SingletaryNYG RB, vs WAS 01:15OVER1.5Receptions23/20FanDuel1.8+0.3 vs line2−1.1%5/10L5 3/5L20 7/2019thWAS vs RB
Van JeffersonWAS WR, @ NYG 01:15OVER1.5Receptions29/20FanDuel2.1+0.6 vs line2−1.1%6/10L5 3/5L20 10/209thNYG vs WR
Devin SingletaryNYG RB, vs WAS 01:15OVER8.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel13.0+4.5 vs line1−3.2%5/10L5 3/5L20 7/2015thWAS vs RB
Austin EkelerWAS RB, @ NYG 01:15UNDER1.5Receptions89/100FanDuel1.3−0.2 vs line1−3.2%3/10L5 3/5L20 4/207thNYG vs RB
J.J. McCarthyNYG QB, vs WAS 01:15UNDER1.5Pass TDs1/2FanDuel0.9−0.6 vs line1−3.8%8/10L5 5/5L20 10/1426thWAS vs QB
Darnell MooneyNYG WR, vs WAS 01:15OVER15.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel25.9+10.4 vs line1−4.6%6/10L5 1/5L20 13/2021stWAS vs WR
Darnell MooneyNYG WR, vs WAS 01:15OVER1.5Receptions93/100FanDuel2.0+0.5 vs line1−4.7%7/10L5 2/5L20 13/2027thWAS vs WR
Cam SkatteboNYG RB, vs WAS 01:15OVER50.5Rush yds22/25FanDuel63.9+13.4 vs line1−4.9%7/10L5 4/5L20 10/1519thWAS vs RB
Devin SingletaryNYG RB, vs WAS 01:15OVER23.5Rush yds22/25FanDuel29.4+5.9 vs line1−4.9%6/10L5 2/5L20 10/2019thWAS vs RB
J.J. McCarthyNYG QB, vs WAS 01:15UNDER18.5Rush yds9/10DraftKings11.5−7.0 vs line1−5.4%6/10L5 3/5L20 7/1428thWAS vs QB
Theo JohnsonNYG TE, vs WAS 01:15OVER4.5Rec yds22/25DraftKings17.9+13.4 vs line1−5.4%6/10L5 2/5L20 16/2028thWAS vs TE
Jayden DanielsWAS QB, @ NYG 01:15UNDER35.5Rush yds89/100DraftKings28.8−6.7 vs line1−5.4%6/10L5 3/5L20 8/2030thNYG vs QB
Rachaad WhiteWAS RB, @ NYG 01:15OVER37.5Rush yds9/10DraftKings49.7+12.2 vs line1−5.4%3/10L5 1/5L20 10/2020thNYG vs RB
Malachi FieldsNYG WR, vs WAS 01:15OVER25.5Rec yds89/100DraftKings35.6+10.1 vs line1−5.4%4/8L5 3/5L20 4/821stWAS vs WR
J.J. McCarthyNYG QB, vs WAS 01:15UNDER212.5Pass yds89/100DraftKings166.8−45.7 vs line1−5.5%7/10L5 3/5L20 10/1426thWAS vs QB
Treylon BurksWAS WR, @ NYG 01:15UNDER32.5Rec yds89/100DraftKings31.4−1.1 vs line1−5.5%7/10L5 2/5L20 16/209thNYG vs WR
Jayden DanielsWAS QB, @ NYG 01:15UNDER200.5Pass yds89/100DraftKings197.2−3.3 vs line1−5.5%6/10L5 2/5L20 8/202ndNYG vs QB
Malik NabersNYG WR, vs WAS 01:15OVER5.5Receptions77/100FanDuel6.5+1.0 vs line1−5.5%5/10L5 4/5L20 12/2027thWAS vs WR
Cam SkatteboNYG RB, vs WAS 01:15OVER7.5Rec yds9/10DraftKings12.1+4.6 vs line1−5.5%7/10L5 3/5L20 12/1515thWAS vs RB
Rachaad WhiteWAS RB, @ NYG 01:15OVER13.5Rec yds89/100DraftKings16.4+2.9 vs line1−5.5%5/10L5 2/5L20 10/203rdNYG vs RB
Isaiah LikelyNYG TE, vs WAS 01:15OVER4.5Receptions81/100DraftKings5.6+1.1 vs line1−5.6%6/10L5 4/5L20 7/2022ndWAS vs TE
Jayden DanielsWAS QB, @ NYG 01:15UNDER1.5Pass TDs23/50DraftKings1.2−0.3 vs line1−5.7%7/10L5 4/5L20 11/2014thNYG vs QB
Antonio WilliamsWAS WR, @ NYG 01:15UNDER3.5Receptions21/20DraftKings3.0−0.5 vs line1−5.7%6/8L5 4/5L20 6/89thNYG vs WR
Isaiah LikelyNYG TE, vs WAS 01:15OVER47.5Rec yds9/10DraftKings58.9+11.4 vs line1−5.7%5/10L5 4/5L20 7/2028thWAS vs TE
Austin EkelerWAS RB, @ NYG 01:15OVER29.5Rush yds9/10DraftKings37.1+7.6 vs line1−5.7%2/10L5 1/5L20 7/2020thNYG vs RB
Malik NabersNYG WR, vs WAS 01:15OVER67.5Rec yds9/10DraftKings81.2+13.7 vs line1−5.7%5/10L5 4/5L20 12/2021stWAS vs WR
Rachaad WhiteWAS RB, @ NYG 01:15UNDER2.5Receptions17/25DraftKings2.5+0.0 vs line1−5.8%8/10L5 4/5L20 13/207thNYG vs RB
Cam SkatteboNYG RB, vs WAS 01:15OVER1.5Receptions5/4DraftKings1.7+0.2 vs line1−5.8%5/10L5 2/5L20 10/1519thWAS vs RB
Theo JohnsonNYG TE, vs WAS 01:15OVER0.5Receptions59/100DraftKings1.7+1.2 vs line1−5.8%6/10L5 2/5L20 16/2022ndWAS vs TE
Stefon DiggsWAS WR, @ NYG 01:15UNDER4.5Receptions8/13DraftKings3.7−0.8 vs line1−5.9%6/10L5 3/5L20 12/209thNYG vs WR
Austin EkelerWAS RB, @ NYG 01:15OVER8.5Rec yds43/50DraftKings9.0+0.5 vs line1−5.9%7/10L5 3/5L20 13/203rdNYG vs RB
Treylon BurksWAS WR, @ NYG 01:15UNDER2.5Receptions14/25DraftKings2.2−0.3 vs line1−5.9%8/10L5 3/5L20 17/209thNYG vs WR
Van JeffersonWAS WR, @ NYG 01:15OVER7.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel25.9+18.4 vs line1−6.0%8/10L5 3/5L20 14/209thNYG vs WR
Chig OkonkwoWAS TE, @ NYG 01:15OVER3.5Receptions33/50DraftKings3.6+0.1 vs line1−6.1%5/10L5 3/5L20 9/2011thNYG vs TE
Antonio WilliamsWAS WR, @ NYG 01:15UNDER37.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel35.6−1.9 vs line1−6.1%5/8L5 3/5L20 5/89thNYG vs WR
Chig OkonkwoWAS TE, @ NYG 01:15OVER34.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel36.3+1.8 vs line1−6.2%5/10L5 3/5L20 10/205thNYG vs TE
Stefon DiggsWAS WR, @ NYG 01:15OVER40.5Rec yds22/25FanDuel43.6+3.1 vs line1−6.2%4/10L5 2/5L20 9/209thNYG vs WR
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256more props tonight
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0more rated 4 or 525hit 8+ of their last 1014games, every player
Free, no card.
Rating 1–5 compares the best price with Reko's chance. Matchup is the opponent's rank for allowing this stat to the player's position, from 1st (allows the least) to 32nd (allows the most). A high rank suits overs, a low one unders.
Questions
How these numbers are made, and how to read them.
How are the prop ratings worked out?+
Each prop is rated 1 to 5 by its expected value: Reko’s chance of the line landing, times the best price at FanDuel or DraftKings, minus one. Reko’s chance combines the model’s projection with the books’ own price (with the margin taken out), weighted by how well each has predicted past props. A 5 means an expected value of 7.5% or more; a 1 means the price is worse than fair.
What is a hit rate?+
How often the line would have landed in the player’s recent games: his last 5, 10 and 20 games. Open a prop to see the games behind it, or go to the player’s page to move the line and see the hit rate at any number.
Which line is shown for each player?+
The main line: the one the books price closest to even money. The other lines on offer are on the player’s page.
What does the matchup rank mean?+
Where the opponent ranks this season for allowing that stat to the player’s position, from 1st (allows the least) to 32nd (allows the most). The same defense shows the same rank on every prop. A high rank (a soft defense) suits overs, a low one (a tough defense) suits unders.
When do props appear?+
Books post player props in the day or two before each game, and through the week for the NFL. They appear here as soon as they are priced and update through the day.
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